Occupational Forecasts for 1998 for Ireland and Their Implications for Educational Qualifications
The Census of Population provides data on the structure of employment by occupation and industry for Ireland that are supplemented by the Labor Force Survey (LFS), which collects information on employment by occupation and industry. Expected strong growth in the Irish economy from 1993-98 should lead to a significant increase in employment. This increase will not be large enough to absorb the expected rapid rise in labor force participation. In terms of sectoral forecasts, decreases are expected in the agricultural, manufacturing, and clothing and textiles sectors; increases are expected in all other sectors. Different sectoral trends in employment and continuing change in the occupational structure of sectors mean the aggregate expected change in employment will differ across occupations. Significant increases are forecast for professional, associate professional and managerial, and proprietors occupations. Occupational groups expected to experience employment declines are agricultural workers, laborers and unskilled workers, and foremen and supervisors. More than two-thirds of all net new projected jobs are likely to be secured by women. Educational data on those at work are from the LFS 1991. Analysis shows that those occupations that are predicted to grow fastest are also those with high levels of education. An assessment of the educational profile required for the new jobs that will be created from 1991-98 shows a strong trend toward higher educational requirements. (Contains 23 references) (YLB)