Forecasting the Demand for Privatized Transport

By Lourdes Trujillo, Emile Quinet, Antonio Estache

Forecasting the Demand for Privatized Transport
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This overview of issues that regulators should be aware of in demand forecasting discusses challenges that come with the decision to privatize transport, the perverse incentives introduced when privatization teams use strategic demand forecasts to evaluate assets, the most common problems with demand forecasting, the reasons that demand forecasting matters, and how to think about demand forecasting in the context of regulation.

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